Dealers


http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/6651b660-46fc-11dd-876a-0000779fd2ac.html

MTS coming under more pressure in their Western European stronghold. Even their push into Emerging Markets will not make up for these loses.

Article on eFinancial where Celent are stating that Brokers will cut tech spend by 7%.

If you take into account that short-term tech spend will be up on risk management and various regulatory issues, where does this leave e-Trading and specifically FI e-Trading? At SIFMA the banks said the spend will be level…….hmmmm, it wasn’t convincing then and is less so now.

Brief piece by Larry Tabb, in Advance Trading, on the future of FI e-trading and that the time is right to move towards an agency/echange type model in Fixed Income.

I can’t say this immediately grabs me as a concept, and it certainly isn’t a new concept. I agree that by the time the markets have settled (2009?) there should be fertile ground for change, but as Tabb points out (and as is often the problem with FI e-Trading) who will drive it? Two players he fails to mention are the existing providers of FI e-Trading venues (e.g. TradeWeb, MTS, BrokerTec, eSpeed) and Exchanges (Equities and Futures).

Brief article on Bank Consortiums on eFinancial with a focus on LiquidityHub. Quoting a Bank source: β€œThe 16-bank consortium became quite unwieldy as there were a lot of interested parties with equal shares. The nine dealers that joined TradeWeb are the bulk of the market and they realized there was a better way of doing things, rather than fighting these battles internally through LiquidityHub.”

I just spotted this on Reuters. Citi have taken an equity stake in TradeWeb and will have a seat on the Board.

Citi and BarCap were the two most notable dealers not involved in Fusion, in my view.

Just hearing rumours that the Bank Consortium are looking to close LH at c.o.b today!

Not heard why but can only guess a lack of take up and the fact that these markets have lead to the priority of the banks to move away from e-Trading in swaps. I had heard that the support of most banks on LH was tepid at best during it’s 6-month life.

UPDATE: defo happening today. Hard to say if temporary or permanent as they’re citing “market conditions” but you’ve got to think it is all over for LH.

An article in eFinancial News asking why e-Swaps have yet to take off:

Electronic swaps trading struggles to gain traction

Main points and my view:

– 5-10% of IRS traded electronically (I’d lean towards 5% given these markets) but JPM claim 5-30% for them, depending on market conditions
– Huge gap between the best e-Swaps houses (Barx, DB, RBS and JPM) and the rest (Indeed, far more so than Govt Bonds)
– Price transparency (lack of) and market conditions have hindered multi-dealer vs. single-dealer, as has the above dealer “quality gap” (Multi-dealer plarforms need more price transparency if they truly want to take off, but there are tier-1 dealers and tier-10 dealers, and not much in between)
– Multi-dealer (TradeWeb and LiquidityHub) will overtake single-dealer in time (not in these markets) says Goldman Sachs (what are they up to? πŸ˜‰ ) and e-Swaps will account for 50% of trades in 18-months time according to Quod Financial (based on what? As they’d say in The Castle “tell ‘im he’s dreamin’!!!”)
– TradeWeb does $7bn in swaps a day (bet EONIA covers a good chunk of that) and have 9 fusion banks PLUS another 6 joing for USD IRS (although those 6 are 6 of the Fusion 9)
– SwapsWire adds value to e-Trading (does it? to the big boys making markets it does. Most tier-2 banks don’t use it or don’t even know what it is!)

Speaking of LiquidityHub, not much news of late, however I was chatting with “a source close to” / “a friend of” the system and they tell me that the number of trades have picked up. The most surprising part is that the bulk of them seem to be coming via Reuters rather than Bloomberg! Seems Reuters have a better GUI, so a client was telling me.

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